By Tom Baxter
Last week, Politico reports, longtime conservative activist Richard Viguerie gave a rave notice to a movie about a Democratic, anti-war civil liberties advocate.
“Copperhead,” a film about northern opponents of the Civil War and the abuse they suffered, “will hit close to home for every conservative fighting to preserve our Constitution and our American way of life,” Viguerie emailed his followers. “Copperhead is about standing up for faith, for America, and for what’s right, just like you and I are doing today.”
The connection may seem a little odd, but it comes at a time when Copperheadism is very much alive in the Party of Lincoln. The Obama presidency, and in particular, the long battle against the Affordable Health Care Act, has quickened the already thumping pulse of anti-government dissent on the right. Moreover, the Copperheads’ mistrust of Yankee meddlers could well strike a sympathetic chord among today’s Tea Party activists.
The war against ObamaCare, which began in early 2009, has gone on now longer than the Civil War the Copperheads opposed, and there’s no guarantee it’s near an end. But the core parts of the law that the war has been fought over are about to go into effect, and its opponents are busy staking out their own, separate roads to Appomattox.
Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas may have divided his caucus and won no friends in the U.S. Senate locker room with his call to shut down the government, if necessary, to stop implementation of the law, but he has won the affection of the diehards, and at a cheap price. There’s no chance, with the economy on spindly legs, that a majority of his Republican colleagues are going to go along with him, so Cruz has a clear shot at the role of last warrior on the field as the next battle — for the Republican presidential nomination — begins to take shape.
There was no chance either that Health and Human Services director Jean Sebelius was going to grant Georgia a delay on one day’s notice of the deadline for Insurance Commissioner Ralph Hudgens to pass on the insurance rates proposed by the companies participating in the insurance exchange coming with the new law. But again, this was a very inexpensive investment in the next election.
Based on what can be gleaned so far, there seem to be two safe predictions about what’s going to happen next year when ObamaCare goes into effect. It isn’t going to be as successful as its supporters hoped it would be, or as disastrous as its opponents expected. Hudgens cited an example in which a young person would pay nearly twice the going rate under the new system, but other states across the country have reported generally lower than expected rates for their exchanges. Aetna has been a notable holdout — or pullout, withdrawing from several of the exchanges, but its rate proposals have been based on different assumptions than most of the insurance companies that will compete for the business of the uninsured, according to experts.
Next year, when it comes down to whether small-town hospitals close or states accept the Medicaid extension, there will still be opportunities to war against ObamaCare, but the price won’t be nearly as cheap or the reward as predictable. If the new law is perceived to be working fairly well in other states, the ideological fervor of the opposition may cool. Or it may stay just as hot and move on to another subject. The Copperheads were a lot more issue-specific than today’s dissidents.
“I’ve never thought of dissent as a political act belonging to the right or left. It’s an act of liberty, an expression of the rights of a free person — free not just in law but free from the confines and pressures of the tyranny of the majority,” Peter Maxwell, the director of the movie, told Politico. (A piece by the film’s screenwriter, Bill Kauffman, offers another interesting take.)
Maxwell called the film “a cinematic meditation on the the price of dissent.” In today’s battle, that price is about to go up.